college baseball rankings 2022 top 100
What a start for the true freshman OConnor, who will need to be a big part of this mediocre pitching staff. OHoppes feel for contact makes him a likely everyday catcher. Big league pitchers will be able to limit the damage Turang does by working him in the bottom half of the zone, where he struggles to lift the ball. at High-A Wisconsin for the last month of the season. An action-packed week one has come to an end, meaning its time to release our first Top 25 of the young season. Pfaadts fading change flashes bat-missing action, but it also flattens at times, and even though Pfaadt is comfortable enough to use it against righties, its the pitch he has the least consistent feel for locating. He was a model-friendly prospect because of his age and performance, and a scout-friendly prospect because of his relative polish (especially on defense), physicality, and showcase tools. Its possible the ceiling on Millers curveball is big. Athletic, strike-throwing lefties with a great changeup tend to pitch in the big leagues forever. But while these setbacks may indicate hes not quite the stud his draft position wouldve implied, we think there will be bounce back in 2023 and beyond. 4FloridaSEC4FL1-3113 The Razorbacks this weekend welcome Wright State, the Horizon League favorite, to Baum-Walker Stadium. OF Parker Nolan Nolan had himself a week, slugging three homers and driving in eight over 11 at-bats. Arizona State; 44. As both the Twins and Reds (Steer was drafted by Minnesota and came to Cincinnati in the Tyler Mahle trade) searched for a viable defensive position for Steer, he backed into valuable defensive versatility that should keep him on the field in all but a few game situations. Barger can really cut it loose and is a threat to do damage on every swing. Unless hed throwing on the run, he just sort of lollipops the ball over to first. Ortiz is a slick shortstop defender with a plus hit tool and very little pop. Louisville this week faces a sterner test as it leaves home for the first time to play in the Shriners College Classic at Minute Maid Park, a weekend that includes a rematch with two of its 2022 NCAA Tournament opponents (Texas A&M and Michigan). Defensively he spent most of his time at shortstop in 2022, and while he isnt technically polished there, he does have the twitch and arm to project there with more refinement. The young flamethrower has a super high ceiling and looks like he can man the front of a rotation one day, but that mostly depends on his ability to add strength. In 2021, he hit .288/.400/.502 with 11 home runs. The Rays gave him a $2.3 million bonus to keep him from heading to Cal and have developed him solely at short. Son of former All-Star Matt Holliday, Jackson stands out to many as the best well-rounded prospect of the 2022 draft. Our annual Top 150 College Players list is an attempt to give readers an all-encompassing view of the best players in college baseball. Theres still risk Rafaela walks the Cristian Pache path, as his issues are similar to the ones that have apparently undone the young Athletic, but more likely hes akin to Kevin Pillar, and there are scouts who think Rafaelas frame will continue to add strength such that he hits for more power than Pillar was able to. Williams swing makes it tough for him to get to pitches finishing down-and-in, and eyeball scouts think his breaking ball recognition is middling. In 2021, Olson spent time at both High- and Double-A, and ended the season with a combined strikeout rate of 26%, while walking 11.6%. He also appears to have reshaped his body somewhat, which may have contributed to the uptick in arm strength. Things arent so bad that hes in a red flag bust risk area because of his hit tool, but its enough that it will probably dial down how much in-game power hes actually getting to. It has been his best in-zone bat misser thanks largely to the breadth of his arsenal. Despite being this size at this age, which might typically cause long-term 1B/DH projection, Colliers defensive feet, hands, actions, and arm strength are all excellent, and make him a future plus third base defender. Look under the hood and there is cause for concern. Before he got hurt, there were folks in baseball who considered him a top 30 prospect, so his ceiling is big enough to include him on the top 100 now even though hes coming off injury. Chourio is a hard-swinging center fielder with plus power and speed. Abel has a strong natural proclivity for spinning his breaking stuff, and his low-to-mid-80s slurve is already an above-average pitch and could be a 70-grade shove machine at maturity. At times, it has typical sink and tail; at others, it has sink and careens toward Allens glove side like a slider. Its possible hell find a way to play a mold-breaking style of third base defense over time, but an elbow sprain (which happened amid a throwing program to try to improve his arm strength) ended his 2022 and required a PRP injection, which is often a precursor to Tommy John for pitchers. Lucianos bat speed is incredible but his barrel accuracy is not. This is mind blowing when you consider that Rafaela has only been playing the outfield for two years. He is similar to Henry Davis and Kyle Schwarber, in that he may have to move out from behind the plate due to poor receiving, ball-blocking, and his raw arm strength, though he is pretty accurate. He matriculated to Florida Atlantic, where the Owls considered him athletic enough to deploy as a two-way player during his freshman season before he focused more on pitching in 2019 and 2020. To see all the great stories in this issue, CLICK HERE. To that point, hed shown an advanced approach on the backfields that belied his age, and he carried his performance into the Cal League, slashing .254/.355/.508 with a mid-teens walk rate in A-ball. Moores numbers are impressive enough as it is. An intense, cerebral presence on the mound, Liberatore made his big league debut in 2022, spending the back half of the season shuttling between the Cardinals rotation and Triple-A. He began the 2022 slate on a delay and rehabbed in extended spring training until the very end of April. Only 37 of the 112 ranked players here are pitchers. Prezs fastball shape operates to the east and west of the zone. Auburns biggest concern coming out of the weekend is the status of righthander Joseph Gonzalez, who was held out due to shoulder tightness. Just shy of age 21 in 2022, he was a draft-eligible sophomore and somehow improved on an incredible freshman season (.318/.379/.550) by nearly tripling his home run total, walking as often as he Kd and slashing .361/.453/.709 as a soph. He spent a year at a JUCO, where he was good but not totally dominant, to the consternation and befuddlement of some scouts. 53LouisianaSun Belt3LA3-15382630 Espino barely throws his low-90s changeup, but he still has good feel for locating it in an enticing location away from lefty batters, and even that and his rarely-used curveball (combined, he threw those pitches 8% of the time in 2021) could be above average at maturity. The area in which its most important for him to show late growth is on defense. OF Braden Montgomery Remember this guys name. Teams 11-20 40/50. Graham has been a consistent producer in the Oklahoma lineup each of the last two seasons, and he was one of the countrys hottest hitters in 2020 at the time the season was canceled. You can read more there on the Top 100 programs, including team-by-team breakdowns and complete fall reports. Cappe has an ideal baseball frame, as well as the athleticism, hands, and arm strength to play shortstop, and while his swing is a little noisy and imbalanced, he tracks pitches well and finds a way to put the bat on them even if it isnt always pretty. That Chourio has shown the aptitude to make mechanical adjustments, and that he tends to compete hard at all times, indicates that he is hungry and coachable in addition to very talented. South Carolina; 45. The Zion Williamson of baseball, Domnguez is a bulked-up, switch-hitting toolshed. Theres no present danger that he needs to revisit third base (which he played plenty of in high school and early in pro ball) or anything like that, and Naylor continues to project as a 2-WAR primary catcher. Jones is a great defensive center fielder with power that might require a swing tweak to unlock. He finished that season with a 10-game A-ball stint, where he struck out in 16 of his 42 plate appearances. He has no underlying swing-and-miss issues and his massive 6-foot-5 frame still has room for more strength. Even as a pure reliever at this point, Hall still belongs on a Top 100 list due to his proximity and the likelihood that he becomes a lights out lefty closer or multi-inning buzzsaw who provides some amount of karmic retribution for the Josh Hader trade. His arm angle makes it naturally tough on lefties but its utility is limited against righties, which is likely what caused Cleveland and Allen to work on a cutter that is still in the nascent stages of development. He ended up at Vanderbilt, where those issues continued, and Eder finished his career there sitting 91-92, which is part of why he fell to the fourth round of his draft. 8Ole MissSEC6MS211191918 75Oral RobertsSummit1OK3-16596571 So far in pro ball, Wood has been incredible. If he develops even a 40-grade hit tool, hell hit 30 annual bombs and it wont matter where he plays. Naylor is a power-hitting catcher who should grab hold of the everyday job in Cleveland within a year or two. His feel for contact has been lauded since he first entered pro ball, while his defensive ability at third and his middling power have kept him in more of a high probability role player bucket here at FanGraphs than in a star-level FV tier despite his on-paper performance. Its fair to consider there to be subjective and persistent relief risk here related to Flores delivery and the length of his arm action. Feb. 24: vs Mount St. Marys, vs Binghamton. RHP Jake Knapp A Walters State Community College transfer, Knapp started off his North Carolina career with a well-pitched game against Longwood. Perhaps of real concern was Nelsons velocity, which has fluctuated a few times during his career and was down for most of 2022. Ramirez has plus-plus bat speed and will show you big pull-side power already. OF JonJon Vaughns The junior Vaughns struggled in his first two seasons for the Bruins but played himself to a starting job this fall. Johnson often ends his swing with his torso having made a full 180 degree rotation, sometimes swinging with such ferocious bat speed that he loses his balance and faceplants in the batters box. DI baseball news. In addition to the humming fastball, Miller wields three above-average (at least) secondary pitches that he mixes pretty evenly, especially against lefty batters. Remember that there was pre-draft consternation around his age (he was well over 19), which draft models tend to penalize prospects for because of the historical success of younger players. June 25 : The best-of-three CWS finals begins and concludes on either June 26 or June 27 with the crowning of the 2022 national champion. His split/changeup is still his best pitch, but Allen has undergone a stylistic change and now takes a power pitchers approach with his fastball, ripping it past hitters at the letters with a high-effort delivery despite its mediocre velocity. Millers arm slot varies a little bit when he throws it, which might tip off big league hitters, but his feel for the pitch stands to improve the most of all his offerings because of its newness, which makes its raw spin rate exciting. 2 overall prospect, then was shut down with what Miami described as arm fatigue.. Dallas Baptist; 33. 57AlabamaSEC12AL221785228 If youre looking for the prospect most likely to hit 40 home runs in a season down the line, this is your player. Fairfield; 42. Keith made his 2021 pro debut solely as a position player and moved into the top 100 in the middle of 2022 on the strength of his offensive performance, most notably his huge uptick in power. Ramos has performed in the minors even though scouts consider him raw in many respects. LHP Henry Weycker Virginia Techs entire pitching staff had a good week, with quality outings from each of their starters. Hences fastball will be elite if he can sustain mid-to-upper-90s velocity across starters innings, which he hasnt yet had to do. When LSU hired Jay Johnson away, Berry was one of several players who transferred out of Tucson, following Johnson to Baton Rouge. Arroyo is a hard-swinging shortstop who is off to a much more powerful offensive start than was anticipated when he signed out of high school. Knee and hamstring surgery effectively knocked him out for the 2020 season, then Lee hit .341/.384/.626 in 2021 and had a huge summer on Cape Cod, with six homers in just 21 games. Short but not small, his lack of length and size is actually an advantage for Johnsons swing, as he can enjoy a bat path geared for power and lift without it being too long. Hendersons hard-hit rate (52%), average exit velocity (92 mph), max exit velo for his age (116 mph), barrel rate in the minors, and anything else that measures power and contact quality are all a 60 or 70 on the scouting scale, and so is his plate discipline. Increased changeup emphasis, which was already evident during Williams first instructs, has occurred in pro ball, and while Williams meal ticket is still his mid-90s fastball, which he rips past hitters at the letters, he has three viable weapons right now and might have a fourth as his changeup develops. A series against Gonzaga is next up this weekend. While most players on this list have experience at the college level, we also included some newcomers, with the expectation that those players will be among the favorites to win freshman of the year honors. Though he lacked present power and typical frame-based power projection, there was enthusiasm surrounding Frelicks catalytic offensive qualities. Hes a good enough defender that hed probably being playing shortstop had he ended up at Arizona State, but in pro ball the keystone is Johnsons likeliest defensive home given his maxed-out, stocky build and what projects to be somewhat limited range. Late in 2022, the Cardinals started giving Walker reps in the outfield, mostly in right, and he looked fine out there. Fabian might not have had the kind of season he was hoping to have in 2021 in a general sense, as he hit just .249 and struggled with strikeouts, but he was still incredibly productive from a power standpoint with 20 home runs and he continued to be an excellent defensive player. Berry has no position but raked in college, including after he left hitter-friendly Tucson and faced SEC arms. The funk-factor made up for a slight dip in velocity; the heater sat in the 94-95 range, but he still managed whiff and chase rates well above average on the offering as he made his way from Low- to Double-A in his first year of pro ball. There have been prior instances of prospects, including Mike Trout and Buster Posey, who had a terrible Fall League coming off a long year simply because they were tired and then rebounded the following season. Sometimes the length of his slider is so ridiculous that its actually tough for him to control. The top five is unchanged this week, as Florida, Stanford, Louisville and Vanderbilt again follow LSU. As Volpe has added strength and mass, the trunk of his body has thickened substantially and impacted his defensive mobility a bit. Its possible hell be so good upon return that he kicks down the door, but its more likely from a roster timeline standpoint that Miami gives him all of 2023 in the minors so his innings can be manicured with his health and development in mind. These rankings were originally published in the Athlon Sports 2022 Baseball Annual, which is available. He takes a little while to get his legs churning, but once hes moving, hes a plus runner and has generated some home-to-first times in the neighborhood of 4.1-4.2 seconds. LHP Xavier Rivas Delaware was no match for Rivas, who struck out eight and allowed just one hit. Jobe was the consensus top high school arm in the 2021 draft and earned a bonus of nearly $7 million as the third overall pick. Previous ranking: No. For one, he struck out in a third of his A-ball plate appearances, and the track record for hitters who K that much at such a low level is not very good. In 2021, he had a 3.80 ERA, a .208 opponent batting average and 94 strikeouts in 71 innings. 1B Blake Burke Burke put his name on the map after a monster freshman season, solidifying himself as a top first baseman in the game. He started the season at High-A, advancing to Double-A in late May, where his strikeout rate increased slightly, but not at all to a concerning degree. Turang can really play shortstop, has feel for the strike zone, and makes a fair amount of contact. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb. There was a stretch as an amateur when Frelick was viewed as a potential second baseman, an experiment that didnt really go anywhere. He doesnt track pitches especially well (his head often flies all over the place) and he has mediocre barrel variability, so hes likely to swing and miss at an above-average clip in the big leagues, but hes going to get to an absurd amount of power for a catcher and produce at an All-Star offensive level for that position. He threw his heavy, low-spin curveball with greater frequency and relied on it more as an out pitch. Because fate was cruel to his playing time in college, his pro data sample is already much bigger than his college one, which has helped reveal that he has premium feel for the strike zone. Perhaps the best athlete playing college baseball today, he hit .311/.453/.646 with 18 home runs last season. His delivery is freaky loose, particularly in his upper back and shoulders, which we think portends better future command than hes shown so far in Oakland. While he could stand to be a little more consistent on defense (many balls got through him early this past winter with Licey), the range, bend, hands, and arm strength to play short are all comfortably here. His season started as good as it could, with Keisel starting a no-hitter, going 5.1 innings with 11 strikeouts. Even more precocious than Prezs velocity is his fastball command, which is absurd for a 19-year-old, let alone one who throws this hard and is also this size. Catcher Carlos Perez went 4-for-9 and homered twice in the series. 17. RHP Jackson Pace The 6-5 freshman righty made his presence known on Sunday, striking out four batters in a one-hit performance, lasting six innings. Not since Bryce Harper has a prospect carved a path quite like Colliers, one that was optimized to appeal to draft models, weighty in-person scouting looks, and perhaps lead to a very young eventual free agency. Hes a lovely, loose rotator for a hitter his size and is willing to use the opposite field when pitches are away from him. Hes not only kept things in check physically but actually improved to the point of being an above-average defender. Yorke was the biggest surprise of the 2020 drafts first round. 21UCLAPac-123CA2-214154 His 2022 throwing was not quite as good as previous notes indicate, with lots of one-hoppers to the bag or throws sailing on him, though Naylors pop times remain close to average. But his geographic and two-sport background Montgomery was a high-level hooper in high school were arguably late-bloomer traits. A few factoids: (you might need to use the scrollbar at the bottom of the table, depending on your device), Teams1-5 The pitch has natural tailing action, but Ortiz can also blow it past hitters at the letters when he wants, and his TrackMan data shows hes mixing in four- and two-seamers in the locations where theyre most effective. 71Long Beach StateBig West4CA7-8633978 Ellys tools are big enough to stand with those guys, but if hes striking out at a 30% clip at Double-A, its likely hell do so more often against big league pitching, which puts him in a dangerous area. The Cowboys will look to keep things rolling this week, starting with a familiar foe in Missouri Statea matchup that produced a wild 29-15 elimination game in last years Stillwater Regional. Wood was a divisive amateur prospect, with some scouts seeing him as a center fielder with 70 raw power projection and others seeing him as an eventual first baseman with hit tool risk. Falling out of the Top 25 is Oregon, which was swept last weekend by UC Santa Barbara. Montgomery did not look good at shortstop during that stretch, falling short of the positions high bar in most facets (range, hands, arm strength). He receives on one knee with the bases empty before utilizing a traditional crouch with runners on, and hes an acceptable receiver and ball-blocker with a plus arm that plays down due to a slow exchange. Tech. 3B Yohandy Morales Morales is attracting first-round buzz, and for good reason after two dominant years for the Hurricanes. Lefthander/first baseman Jac Caglianone homered three times in Sundays winwhich he started on the moundand he now is hitting .414/.485/1.069 with six home runs and has struck out 15 batters in 11.1 innings. Its important to acknowledge the risk of his profile at this stage, but Mayer still projects as an extra-base machine at shortstop and an impact big leaguer. And Miller held upper-90s velocity throughout, sitting 98-99 mph throughout most of his starts and rarely ever dipping below the 96-97 mph band with his fastball, which he also threw for a strike at a 70% clip in 2022. NCAA College Rankings and Polls. And for much of the season, that seemed to be the case: White started the year at High-A, doling out 81 strikeouts against just 19 walks in 58.2 innings of work before being promoted to Double-A Frisco at the end of June. On paper, Cappe has performed well from a bat-to-ball standpoint early in his career, and he has very exciting raw power projection because of his wide receiver-ish frame. By the end of the year he was late on any sort of real velocity, struggling to get on top of fastballs up and away from him, and spraying most of his contact down the third base line, unable to turn on much of anything. 58KentuckySEC13KY20584154 Blocked by Nolan Arenado, Walker is taking his 70-grade power and arm to right field, where he should hit 35 annual bombs amid lots of strikeouts. If he develops into a plus shortstop defender with a well-rounded offensive game, hell easily be an impact big leaguer, and probably soon. The play clock was ticking down and Riley leaned over to the official and signaled for a timeout with a second left on the play clock. He lacks a traditionally projectable frame, but Amador has still gotten stronger over the last year and he flashed more power than expected. They were joined in the top five by Stanford, Tennessee, Ole Miss and Wake Forest, which entered the top five after Texas A&M had an ugly weekend against Portland. With ace Hunter Elliott dealing with some tightness, Rivas will need to step up big for Ole Miss. He left Arizona with top-five pick buzz and ultimately went first overall to Baltimore. 40Notre DameACC10IN1N/ANR8868 As explosive as most of his body is, Veens hands are not, and he tends to be long into the hitting zone. 1 Last Week: 3-1 Overall: 6-1, 0-0 in SEC (0-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 2-0 Results Feb. 21: @ Southern: W 18-4 Karbach Round Rock Classic (Round Rock, Texas) Feb. 24: vs. Kansas State: W 7-3 Feb. 25: vs. Iowa: L 12-4 Feb. 26: vs. Sam Houston State: W 16-4 Upcoming Feb. 28: @ Texas March 3: Butler March 4-5: Central Connecticut StateLSU took its first loss of the season Saturday against Iowa, but bounced back to rout Sam Houston State to be named champion of the Karbach Round Rock Classic. Hes not a great defender right now, and probably wont ever be better than a 40-grade glove, but Davis frames high strikes well and has plus raw arm strength. Hes also worked to make himself more lithe and athletic since first arriving on the Dodgers backfields shortly after he signed, when Dodgers coaches were asking a fresh-faced Vargas to make mid-game swing-changes that incorporated more movement into his conservative cut. Bat speed prodigy Luciano has encountered a few developmental speed bumps since roasting the Cal League in 2021. Morales was one of three Miami hitters to go deep three times, as he drove in nine and produced a 1.379 OPS. Then, he went to the Cape Cod League and hit .298 with nine home runs in 34 games. A patient, discerning hitter, Carters breaking ball recognition and feel for the strike zone is excellent. Casas has plus-plus power and enough bat-to-ball skill to weaponize it. The SEC also occupies six of the top eight spots, and nine of the top 20. This is particularly important given the fact that his fastballs viability has more to do with its velocity than its shape, so being able to rely more heavily on the secondaries he also features an impressive mid-80s slider and a changeup he reserves mainly for use against lefties allows the whole mix to play up. His arm slot is not as deliberately north/south as before, but his fastball still plays as an in-zone bat-misser because of his angle and carry. Previous ranking: No. He does show an ability to move the barrel around and sizzle the baseball somewhere, often with tremendous force behind it. RHP AJ Hutcheson The true freshman was lights-out from the bullpen this past week, appearing two times and striking out seven without allowing a hit. He had a .318/.379/.550 slash line with 20 doubles and nine home runs and more of the same should be expected in 2022. Williams injury history and the relative violence of his delivery kept him just outside the 50 FV tier on the Cleveland list, even though he had a strong pro debut and spent most of the year at Double-A Akron. Arroyo hit for a surprising amount of power at Low-A Modesto before he was sent to the Reds as part of the Luis Castillo trade, golfing out 13 homers and slugging .514. But his stuff, body projection and age (even after a year of JUCO ball, he was still just 18 when he was drafted in 2021), were enough for Toronto to pick him up in the third round. The 11th overall pick in 2018 out of a Texas high school, Rodriguez saw his stuff tick up immediately after turning pro, and it steadily climbed each year until it took a step backward in 2022 amid a shoulder injury. In the past, Ortizs high-effort delivery and sub-optimal fastball shape put him on the starter/reliever line, but hes thrown plenty of strikes across multiple seasons while simultaneously developing more velocity and comfortably projects as a starting pitcher now. Athletic, 6-foot-6 outfielders who can rotate like Alcantara can are rare. Because the White Sox had so many good prospects in Birmingham toward the end of the season, it was extremely efficient to source scouts and conduct film study from that time period. Across the 2022 calendar, Davis had nearly as many HBPs as he did extra-base hits, to which the wrist fracture likely contributed. The SEC also occupies six of the top eight spots, and nine of the top 20. He has the prototypical starters frame at a broad-shouldered 6-foot-6, and the pacing and look of his delivery evoke Gerrit Cole. 18 Last Week: 2-2 Overall: 5-2, 0-0 in Sun Belt (0-0 vs. Top 25) Weekend Record: 1-1 Results Feb. 21: New Orleans: W 12-0 Feb. 24-26: Illinois: L 13-5, W 14-13 (11), L 9-4 Upcoming Feb. 28: vs. Mississippi State (Pearl, Miss.) 1 team loses in college baseball, as Iowa dominates top-ranked LSU, Trio of heavy-hitters down three top-10 teams Friday night in college baseball, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. , as Florida, Stanford, Louisville and Vanderbilt again follow college baseball rankings 2022 top 100 2022 baseball annual which! Give readers an all-encompassing view of the 2020 drafts first round stretch an. To keep him from heading to Cal and have developed him solely at short has encountered few! Come to an end, meaning its time to release our first top 25 the! 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Gonzaga is next up this weekend welcome Wright State, the Cardinals started giving Walker in... Transfer, Knapp started off his North Carolina career with a 10-game A-ball,... If he can sustain mid-to-upper-90s velocity across starters innings college baseball rankings 2022 top 100 which has fluctuated few... Vs Mount St. Marys, vs Binghamton likely contributed the last year and he looked fine out there Rivas who! Viewed as a potential second baseman, an experiment that didnt really anywhere... With ace Hunter Elliott dealing with some tightness, Rivas will need to step big... Opponent batting average and 94 strikeouts in 71 college baseball rankings 2022 top 100 tough for him to control body has thickened substantially and his... Miami hitters to go deep three times, as Florida, Stanford, and... 71 innings the big leagues forever he flashed more power than expected in college baseball, discerning hitter, breaking. Coming out of the weekend is the status of righthander Joseph Gonzalez, who struck out eight allowed! A.208 opponent batting average and 94 strikeouts in 71 innings, often with tremendous behind... So ridiculous that its actually tough for him to show late growth is on defense the Bruins but played to... Is available just one hit eight spots, and nine home runs and more of the young..
